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Global Car Market Mixed Results in August

by Lydia
Stocks

The Global Light Vehicle (LV) selling rate for August remained steady at 90 million units per year, consistent with the previous month. Year-on-year (YoY) sales decreased by 4% compared to August 2023, while year-to-date (YTD) figures showed a modest 1% increase over the same period last year. Regional results presented a mixed picture.

North America Sales Insights

In the U.S., Light Vehicle sales improved YoY in August 2024, rebounding after two months of contractions. Despite high expectations linked to the Labor Day weekend, a lack of promotional deals held back sales. Volumes reached 1.43 million units, marking a 7.1% YoY increase, but the selling rate fell to 15.2 million units/year, down from 16.0 million in July.

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Canadian Light Vehicle sales increased by 1.7% YoY to 160,000 units, though the selling rate declined to 1.68 million units/year from 1.82 million units/year in July. In Mexico, sales surged by 13.0% YoY, reaching 129,000 units—the best monthly performance in 2024—despite a decrease in the selling rate to 1.48 million units/year from 1.60 million.

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European Market Dynamics

In Western Europe, the LV selling rate rose to 14.1 million units/year in August, with 760,000 vehicles sold, reflecting a significant 17.1% decline YoY due to a strong comparative base from H2 2023. YTD sales reached 8.9 million units, up 1.9% from last year. Political and economic challenges continue to dampen consumer confidence, with high interest rates impacting sales.

Eastern Europe’s LV selling rate held steady at 4.3 million units/year in August, with 360,000 vehicles sold—up 6% YoY. YTD sales were up 18.1%, driven primarily by growth in Russia due to rising real wages, although Turkey saw a slight sales increase as the market adjusted to lower inflation.

China’s Market Status

Preliminary data from China indicates a plateau in the domestic market, with a selling rate of about 27 million units/year from June to August. YoY sales fell nearly 10% in August and 2% YTD, against a high comparative base. Notably, New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) accounted for 54% of retail sales in August. The market is expected to accelerate, bolstered by government measures, including increased temporary scrapping subsidies and the easing of downpayment requirements.

Other Asia Market Trends

Japan’s market remains volatile due to production disruptions from vehicle certification issues and adverse weather conditions. The August selling rate dropped to 4.51 million units/year, down 4% from July, with YoY sales declining by 3.4%.

In South Korea, the market rebounded with a selling rate of 1.61 million units/year in August, up 9% from July, despite a YoY decline of 2%. High interest rates and the expiration of a temporary tax cut have contributed to weaker sales.

South America Sales Performance

Brazilian Light Vehicle sales continued their upward trajectory, growing by 13.5% YoY to 223,000 units. However, the selling rate fell to 2.45 million units/year from 2.51 million in July, as increased production led to higher inventory levels.

In Argentina, Light Vehicle sales reached 38,800 units in August, a 5.1% YoY increase, with forecasts suggesting improvement in the latter half of 2024. Despite a slowing selling rate to 418,000 units/year from 463,000, this figure remains positive in the current economic climate.

Conclusion

Overall, the August sales figures for global light vehicles reveal a landscape marked by regional disparities and shifting consumer dynamics. While North America and parts of South America showed positive growth, challenges persist in Europe and Japan due to economic pressures and high interest rates. Meanwhile, China’s market is expected to gain momentum, aided by government initiatives and increasing demand for electric vehicles. As the automotive industry navigates these complexities, stakeholders will need to remain vigilant and adaptable to the evolving market conditions in the months ahead.

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