The Bank of Korea (BOK) made a significant move on Thursday by lowering its seven-day repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 3%, marking the second consecutive month of rate cuts. This decision comes just a month after the central bank initiated a policy pivot aimed at bolstering economic growth amid increasing global uncertainties. Notably, only four out of 22 economists surveyed by Bloomberg had predicted this back-to-back cut, with the majority expecting the rate to remain unchanged.
In its post-decision statement, the BOK highlighted the potential impact of the incoming U.S. administration’s policies as a key factor contributing to heightened global economic uncertainty. The bank also revised its growth forecast for 2025 downward to below 2%, reflecting concerns over a slowing economy. Governor Rhee noted, “Our decision can be interpreted as an acceleration of easing to deal with downward economic risks that are growing larger than we expected,” emphasizing the unexpected political landscape following the recent U.S. elections.
The immediate market reaction saw bond yields decline, stock prices rise, and the South Korean won weaken against the dollar, although some of these movements were later adjusted as investors reassessed the longer-term implications of the rate cut. Rhee indicated that he would collaborate with the government to mitigate currency market volatility if necessary, although he clarified that there was no specific target for currency levels.
The BOK’s proactive stance contrasts with other major central banks that have expressed caution regarding potential shifts in U.S. economic policy. The decision is seen as part of a broader trend that may encourage global central banks to adopt similar easing measures to counteract potential trade disruptions stemming from U.S. tariffs proposed by President-elect Trump.
Economists are interpreting this rate cut as a preemptive measure against anticipated declines in investment and consumption should tensions escalate between the U.S. and its trading partners, including South Korea. Lee Seung-suk from the Korea Economic Research Institute remarked that this action reflects a strategic response to an inevitable slowdown in economic activity.
As part of its ongoing assessment, the BOK has also noted increased volatility in currency markets and is closely monitoring fluctuations in the won. Rhee mentioned discussions about enhancing currency swap arrangements with national financial institutions to better manage any adverse effects on currency stability.
This unexpected rate cut aligns with broader economic concerns within South Korea, where consumer sentiment has deteriorated significantly in recent months. The BOK’s latest forecasts suggest that economic growth may continue to lag into 2026, driven by cooling export momentum and other domestic challenges.
In conclusion, the Bank of Korea’s decisive action underscores its commitment to supporting economic stability in an increasingly uncertain global environment.
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